Now would you credit rate it!
Credit Rating Agency Fitch’s has just published a ‘special report’ on how the coalition government needs to cut spending really, really quickly now, just a few days before the ‘emergency budget’ at which the coalition is planning to do just that.
The AAA rating is under threat, otherwise, warn Fitch’s, who are of course very well known for their reliable ratings which really, really reflect reality and are not at all open to manipulation and rampant corruption.
Ah yes, Fitch’s, I remember now.
That’s the credit rating agency at which Chris Huhne, the Tories’ new cabinet playmate, was vice chair of sovereign and international finance just a few years ago, although this little detail from his life is mysteriously missing from his website biography.
That’ll be the same Chris Huhne, who in January said this to a then Tory opponent about the dangers of really, really cutting spending:
You’re being far too complacent about it. I used to actually run part of a credit rating agency that looked at government risk, and one thing that would really worry rating agencies was if growth was stalled, and then you didn’t get the growth in tax revenues which you normally expect in an upturn, and you being to get benefit claims rising because unemployment was not coming down.
(Via Duncan Weldon, whom we hope to see blogging again soon.)

What will your conclusion be if (as I don’t think will happen) gilts crash? That they were right or it’s all part of some cynical capitalist conspiracy?
Second if they don’t crash will your conclusion be that there never really was a problem or that cutting the deficit turned out to be correct?
Barney–the premise of both your questions seems to be that the rating agencies are making objective or at least disinterested judgements here, and that doesn’t seem to be born out by the facts.
Well, actually that wasn’t the premise. There are answers to both questions that don’t require that premise. Both questions are in essence of the form: do you think they are right or think they are wrong?