Do candidates count?
I’ll reserve judgement on the whole tome for another time, but this amused me……
Paul explains why he didn’t manage to win a very winnable seat in 1997, but came close:
It would be nice to think they were voting for me but of course they weren’t. Individual candidates make only a marginal difference in elections, unless they’ve done something bad (p. xxiv).
Perhaps Paul did something bad, because he’s clear on why some Labour candidates held their seats in 2010 against the odds:
The clear lesson from the campaigns that where local candidates were supported by active community-based campaigns, built on years of incumbency, with local issues to the fore, they stood a much better chance of winning (p.48).
ps. I much prefer Don Paskini’s analysis of how to win elections.
pps. I also know a thing or two about winning elections through local efforts. Candidates do count.