
Justice Souter
Justice Souter, appointed by President George H. W. Bush in 1990 has announced his intention to retire from the Supreme Court.
This story has been getting a whole lot of coverage by the American media, but the effect of a replacement by Obama most likely will have few, if any, implications for the law. Though Souter is classified as a “liberal” by pundits, he is not a liberal lion of the mold of the Justice he replaced, William Brennan, Jr., but he is to the left on many cases.
For Obama, it’s still a momentous occasion. The political capital required to appoint a Supreme Court Justice will be considerable.
The History of Justice Souter and Republican Appointments
The history of the Republican Party’s Supreme Court nominees is quite fascinating, and Justice Souter in particular even more so. Since Roe v. Wade came down in 1973, the religious right wing of the Republican Party coalesced and eventually took control of much of the Party around the issue of overturning the decision. Their goal was obvious: to appoint Supreme Court Justices who were “pro-life” (or anti-choice, depending on your political inclination). Prior appointees did not fall down Party lines over Roe v Wade; Justice Blackmun, a recent Ford appointee penned the decision, while Justice White, a Kennedy appointee wrote the lead dissent.
The next Justice appointed after Roe v Wade was Justice Stevens, who appeared to be a reliable vote, though he came from the still-alive liberal Northern wing of the Republican Party, a Chicago native, like our current President Obama.
While Carter had no appointees to the High Court, and the religious right had not truly coalesced by the time of Steven’s appointment, the first signs of how important an issue abortion would be come was clear by the time Ronald Reagan began making his first appointmetns. Reagan’s appointees, in order, were O’Coonor, Scallia and Kennedy, all vetted and assured to be of the correct political persuasions regarding this key issue. O’Connor, interestingly, had known and dated then William Rehnquist while they were at Stanford Law.

Souter was famously mugged once while jogging in Washington, DC; the assailant did not know who he was
Souter was appointed by George H. W. Bush. He was a generally unknown political outsider, having served as Attorney General of New Hampshire, on New Hampshire’s Supreme Court, and briefly as a Judge on the First Circuit Court of Appeals. John H. Sununu (father of John E. Sununu, former New Hampshire Senator), former Governor of New Hampshire and then Chief of Staff to George H. W. Bush reportedly assured Bush that Souter was “right” on abortion.
As Souter’s appointment easily sailed through, all expectations seemed to be true. He voted reliably conservatively, until Planned Parenthood v. Casey.
Planned Parenthood v. Casey was looked forward to with relish by the pro-life movement in the United States. By 1992, every piece of the puzzle appeared to be in place. Every Justice had been appointed by a Republican, except Justice White, who had penned the dissent in Roe and thus could be counted on.
The case was a defeat. Justice O’Connor, Kennedy and Souter wrote a joint plurality, which became binding upholding the central tenants of Roe v. Wade, though discarding the trimester system in favor of the “undue burden” standard. It later came out that Souter had actually personally penned much of the opinion.
From then on began Souter’s swing towards the left, no longer a reliable conservative vote, and hated by the pro-life forces that had helped to bring him to the Court. As future Justices were appointed, the slogan “No More Souters,” became a rallying cry for the right.
Souter was always a peculiar fellow though, eschewing technology. He was famously given a television on his appointment to the First Circuit Court of Appeals in 1990, having never had one, by John. H. Sununu, only to use it as a paper weight, never plugging it in. He is also well known for hating Washington, frequently retreating to his home in New Hampshire.
Souter, for the Republican Party, represents not only the support of Roe v. Wade for his opinion in Casey, but also the failure of their party, consistently, to identify and secure the appointment of Judges who share their ideologies over the course of their careers.
Obama’s Potential Appointees
Who will President Obama appoint? SCOTUSBlog writer, and Akin Gump lawyer Tom Goldstein has written several posts on potential appointees, which can be found here, here and here.
First, a word on Obama himself. He is a lawyer, and specifically taught Constitutional Law at the University of Chicago. Armed with that knowledge, he most likely is going to be playing a more active role in the appointment of Souter’s replacement than other past Presidents with less legal experience. But given the present distractions of the economy and the other obvious of duties of being President, he might not have as much time to spend on this as he would like.
Now, conventional wisdom, whatever that means exactly, states that Obama is going to be appointing someone young, most likely a woman, and probably already a Judge. All the present Supreme Court Justices were Judges, rather than politicians, as was frequently in the past.
Some names that have been thrown out there are Elena Kagan (former Dean of Harvard Law and now Obama’s Solicitor General) , Sonia Sotomayor (Judge, 2nd Circuit), Diane Wood (Judge, 7th Circuit), Deval Patrick (Governor, Massachusetts), Jennifer Granholm (Governor, Michigan), Kim Wardlaw (Judge, 9th Circuit), as well as many others.
The trait that runs through all these picks, as well as Obama himself, is a moderate and pragmatic liberalism. These Judges will not be Bill Brennans, or Thurgood Marshalls, but more Souters, more Stevens’s, more Breyer’s. The present liberal wing of the Supreme Court resembles a moderate wing of Warren Court, and there have been no Warren Court liberals appointed since the end of the Warren Court, and it is unlikely that Obama will buck the trend.
To make an appointment to the Supreme Court, the President will announce an appointee, who will then have to go through the Senate Judiciary Commitee and then a full Senate vote. Though there’s been much talk of it, I think a fillibuster on any qualified candidate is highly unlikely. Firstly, the vote is unlikely to occur before the beginning of the summer. By that time, Al Franken will most likely have been seated, and with Sen. Arlen Specter (former Republican Chairman of the Judiciary Committee) having switched his affiliation from Republicn to Democrat, the Democrats will have 60 votes in the Senate. If the Republicans attempt to fillibuster, it will be tricky, though not impossible for Obama to muster all 60 Democratic votes for cloture, but he will most likely be able to pick up a few pro-choice Republican Senators who would be hard-pressed to fillibuster an otherwise qualified pro-choice candidate.
If history is any judge, Republicans will not fillibuster such a candidate. Republicans had 57 votes in 1994, and did not fillibuster Stephen Breyer’s appointment. Similarly, Ginsburg, by that same Congress, was overwhelming confirmed without fillibuster.
At the end of the day, Souter will most likely be replaced with a younger, and female Judge with very similar judicial inclinations.
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