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Why the secrecy about Cameron’s Nursing and Care Quality Forum?

February 14, 2012 Leave a comment

On 5th January Cameron visited a hospital, decided it would be a good tactics to be outraged about standards of nursing care, and announced the establishment of a Nursing & Care Quality Forum.

I care a lot about standards of care, so I have followed developments. 

First, the health minister told us that the Forum will ”“not be made up of the great and the good, but is actually being made up of frontline staff”.

Then, we were told by the Chief Nursing Officer that “the first meeting of the forum will take place in late February”.

So I asked the Department of Health who was actually going to make up the forum, given that it is due to meet very soon.  A press officer told me:

We will be announcing the membership of the forum in the coming weeks.

I have a legitimate interest in who is going to sit on this forum, not least because Cameron has already sought to politicize it by ordering, from a position of total ignorance, that nurses must organise their work in a very particular way; as I set out in detail here, the jury remains out on whether the “intentional rounding” Cameron is so impressed by will actually be beneficial to patient care in the long run, and it is the height of irresponsibility to seek to impose it in this way.

Why, then, can the Department of Health give me no information on who will sit on this forum?  What are they trying to hide?

Categories: General Politics

Barclays banker bonuses based on “missing” liabilities

February 13, 2012 Leave a comment

In a busy few days of news, you could be forgiven for having missed this from PIRC:

PIRC research last year identified that at least £1.4bn of deferred bonuses payable were not carried as a liability or disclosed by Barclays in respect of 2010 and previous years. Barclays said that it was nevertheless complying with international accounting standards (IFRS) under which a liability to employees does not count as a liability.

That was contrary to the requirement of Section 411 of the Companies Act which requires amounts paid and payable to employees be disclosed, independently of whether IFRS or UK GAAP was used. It then became clear that this problem was common with other banks.

With today’s figures Barclays is now disclosing amounts payable in accordance with Section 411, even though it is not adjusting its profits or balance sheet for this. This reveals:

• The amount missing in 2010 was in fact £1.7bn, higher than PIRC’s estimate.
• For 2011 the missing sum is now £2.0bn.

That is, while Barclays are this year just about complying with company law by admitting to the £2bn liability in the notes to their accounts (page 33, Performance Management section), they deliberately omit these liabilities from their overall profit figure.

If these bonus liablilities are taken into account, and other IFRS quirks are ironed out, PIRC calculates that:

Barclays true profit for 2011 is only £2,914m, not the £5,879m IFRS number, nor the group’s own “adjusted” number of £5,590m.

This is important because the bonuses being paid out to Barclay’s investment bankers this year have been based on what now appears to be an over-inflated profits announcement.

Thanks to PIRC, Bob Diamond has a little more explaining to do.

Categories: General Politics

Empiricising Osborne’s debt interest rate nonsense

February 12, 2012 Leave a comment

Duncan Weldon has a piece up at Touchstone debunking the ongoing Tory pretence that the UK has low debt interest payment rates because of its economic policies. He quotes Bloomberg:

Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne’s pledge  to eliminate the budget deficit isn’t the main reason U.K. government-bond  yields are at record lows, say most analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

The Bank of England’s quantitative-easing program,  which has so far purchased a quarter of outstanding gilts, was identified as  the single biggest cause by a third of 27 economists polled. Just over a  quarter said investors fleeing other European bonds were driving U.K. rates  lower, while 22 percent said Osborne’s plan was the main reason.

The ‘safe haven’ cause is the one backed in Casenove Capital Management’s latest (to Dec 2011) analysis of its own performance, sent out to the owners of the funds it manages:

Heightened anxiety caused government bond yields to fall substantially during 2011.  The UK, the US and Germany continued to be viewed as safe havens, with 10-year yields falling to 1.96%, 1.81% and 1.83% respectively. The difference between equity and bond yields is a clear reflection of investors’ risk aversion. 

That was the picture as of December (the 1.96% low on UK bonds was reached on 29th December).  So it’s interesting to see what Matthew Vincent has to say in the FT about the latest position:

Investment managers are moving more money into shares, in response to improving market sentiment towards Europe and the US. But opinions still differ over where, and how long, to maintain these equity holdings.

In the past week, several UK firms have announced new, or “overweight” positions in equity markets, having shifted funds out of bonds, cash and other lower-risk asset classes.

Vincent goes on to say that the switch to equities may be short-lived, especially with the ever-present possibility of chaos as a result of “events in Greece.” 

If we do see a sustained movement to equities over the next month or two, however, a concomitant rise in the UK bond yield would provide pretty good empirical evidence that Osborne has indeed been talking total bollox about the reason why they are currently so low.  (The yield on 10 year UK Bonds had already increased by 0.25% since the start of February to 2.23% at close on Friday.)

If yields do rise, it will be important for those critical of Osbornomics not to try to have their cake and eat it too, by blaming any rise in borrowing costs on UK economic policy, at least in the short term.  While Osborne is clearly lying about why rates are currently low as a justification for his continued austerity madness, proper economists should stick with the pretty obvious conclusion that – the effects of QE aside – what rate the UK bond rate continues to depend how much of a mess the rest of the world the big investors think the world is in.

Hollande’s attack on Sarkozy’s ‘boucs émissaires’ strategy: lessons for Labour

February 11, 2012 1 comment

Martine Aubry, a big player in Francois Hollande’s presidential campaign, gave a newspaper interview yesterday.  It marked a real step forward for the campaign, but I hope it will also embolden the British Labour party.

Central to the interview is Aubry’s attack on Sarkozy’s scapegoating strategy:

Avec son interview au Figaro Magazine, M. Sarkozy commence sa campagne de 2012 comme il a gouverné depuis 2007: en voulant désigner des boucs émissaires - les chômeurs, les étrangers, les homosexuels, les professeurs, la gauche…- qui seraient les responsables de tous les maux du pays. Une nouvelle fois, il cherche à diviser les Français au lieu de les rassembler.

[Trans:  With his interview in Le Figaro, Sarkozy begins his 2012 campaign as he has governed since 2007: by creating scapegoats - the unemployed, foreigners, gays, teachers, the left - whom he would have us believe are responsible for all that is wrong with the country.  Once again, he seeks to divide the French people instead of bringing them together].

Sarkozy’s interview in Le Figaro (a key rightwing newspaper) does indeed reflect a lurch for the dog whistle, as he tries to shore up his vote against Le Pen’s Front National, which may not yet be surging but certainly isn’t retreating as a threat to Sarkozy even making the second round (assuming Le Pen makes it onto the ballot paper with the 500 nominations she needs).  His suggestion that allowing immigrants from outside the EU to vote would result in “des cantines scolaires hallal” (Halal school canteens) all over France, for example, gives us a pretty good indication of the votes he’s pitching for.

The Sarkozy interview is also notable for the quite bizarre idea that if re-elected he might put vocational education (formation professionelle) policy to a full referendum, and when the interviewer then follows up with two questions about whether other matters would need a referendum, it feels as though he’s mocking Sarkozy.  It’s so odd a move that even the Daily Mail has noticed.

Sarkozy may be getting desperate already, so it can be argued that it’s all easy enough for the Hollande campaign team, and that they can well afford (and need) to court the leftwing vote even at the expense of the few that might go missing as a result of their approach.   Even so, it’s good to see  Aubry, on Hollande’s behalf, calling out Sarkozy so directly on his scapegoating strategy. 

From a British left perspective, there is inevitably a sense of regret that the Parliamentary Labour Party lacks the confidence, as yet, to speak out firmly on the right side of the argument.  As I said back in July:

If Labour keeps on trying to scare the shit out people on things like crime and immigration, as a way of getting Labour votes, it’s making a big mistake; it’s really just doing the Tories’ job for them*.

Hopefully, as Hollande maintains his lead and goes on to become President, Miliband and team will learn that constant rightwards triangulation is less effective as a route to electoral success than doing the right thing.

 

*George Monbiot made much the same point  last week, claiming that only he and Charlie Brooker had realised what was going on (perhaps he’s just not reading the right blogs):

Confronted with mass discontent, the once-progressive major parties, as Thomas Frank laments in his latest book Pity the Billionaire, triangulate and accommodate, hesitate and prevaricate, muzzled by what he calls “terminal niceness”. They fail to produce a coherent analysis of what has gone wrong and why, or to make an uncluttered case for social justice, redistribution and regulation. The conceptual stupidities of conservatism are matched by the strategic stupidities of liberalism.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cameron’s head boy, Lansley’s the prefect

February 10, 2012 Leave a comment

Sunny Hundal is half right:

incompetence in dealing with the NHS and incompetence in growing the economy & reducing unemployment is how Labour need to define this government. Not ‘out of touch’ but just ‘incompetent’.

Labour’s first line of attack does indeed need to be on the government’s incompetence, but it needs to stress that the government as a whole is incompetent precisely BECAUSE Cameron and his inner circle (Osborne, Letwin and a couple of others) are ‘out of touch’.

The image that springs to mind is a public school.  For convenience, let’s call it Eton.

Cameron is the head boy, sitting in his warm study by the fire with his chums, toasting muffins and talking high political principle.  Meanwhile, outside in the courtyard the megalomaniac prefects, of a lower social class than Cameron and chums – selected for their mix of brutality to those over whom they wield power and obsequiousness to their superiors - wreak havoc on the lower fourth, picking particularly on the weedy vulnerable ones.  Cameron is oblivious to all this. He would probably, you feel, disapprove slightly, but the study is warm, and Oliver’s brought sherry……

Within four months of the Tories coming to power. I set out this public school-like operational code of the government: a high politics/low politics divide, in which a lot of domestic policy is regarded by the inner circle as simply beneath them, and has been delegated in full to rabid freemarketeers like Gove, Lansley and Pickles.   This has been reflected not just in the NHS debacle, but also in Gove’s repeated blunders and Pickles’ obvious lies.  It is also reflected in Cameron now frequent lies at PMQs, and his developing ‘Flashman’ image.

To date, Labour has been too focused on identifying Cameron as heir to Thatcher to notice that the style of government is quite different.  Now, at last, it does look like they are adopting accurate line of attack, though probably still more by accident than by design. 

 

 

 

Ken Livingstone: two interviews

February 8, 2012 1 comment

There is “outrage” in the expected quarters this evening about this from a Jemima Khan interview with Ken Livingstone:

Well, the Labour ones have all come out . . . As soon as Blair got in, if you came out as lesbian or gay you immediately got a job. It was wonderful . . . you just knew the Tory party was riddled with it like everywhere else is.

Now “riddled” does jump out from the page as an odd word to use, with its connotation of disease.   But the key point is that Livingstone didn’t put it in a page – he said it in an interview.

I suspect what is happening here – though it is impossible to know absolutely in the absence of a verbatim transcript/audio recording - is that Livingstone is trying, as a rhetorical device, to ”speak with the voice” of the type of hypocritical Tory that he has only just referred to in the interview, who “denounc[es] homosexuality while they are indulging in it”.

This type of rhetorical device is very common amongst politicians, who most often use it to try and display empathy with the voting public, (though Livingstone here is using it as a means of scorn).  Indeed I pointed out recently how David Cameron used it to show how touch he is with real people, but suggested - given that he used it with a wholly inaccurate term – that he was probably telling a lie.

Now clearly Livingstone’s team is not going to get into this kind of linguistic defence, and sticks with a straight “look at my record” statement.  So as I’ve got a book on my shelves that not many others are sad enough to have, I’ll just help out by quoting from another Livingstone interview – this from 1984 – which provides documentary evidence of the ridiculousness of the “homophobe” barbs now being chucked his way:

The removal of empire, plus great achievements in the liberalisation of censorship, divorce and gay rights, meant that the issues that dominated  the 1950s tended largely to be resolved in the 1960s. (Boddy M & Fudge C, Local Socialism, 1984, Basingstoke: Macmillan, p.262-3).

For Livingstone, the matter of gay rights was clearly sorted a very long time ago.

 

Categories: General Politics

Has Nadine Dorries opened herself up to prosecution?

February 8, 2012 6 comments

I don’t normally bother with Nadine Dorries, MP for mid-Bedfordshire.  There are plenty of other people who do that kind of bothering, and I’m more interested in the 5% of the world’s population currently being cut adrift by the new world economic order, inter alia.

However, the idea that Ms Dorries may possibly have committed a criminal act, by reporting someone to the police in connection with a possible criminal act, does amuse me enough to offer up a quickie.

According to Liberal Conspiracy, Ms Dorries received a tweet suggesting that she had been “misleading” about previous police investigations.  Ms Dorries replied by tweet:

That is libelous and an outright lie. My staff have taken a screen shot and reported your tweet to the police.

The plot then thickens.  A blogger, Tim Ireland, comments on the Liberal Conspiracy piece, including:

The summary is that Bedfordshire Police have made it clear to this MP that libel is not a criminal offence, and not a matter for police.

Now, I don’t know whether Bedfordshire Police have said this kind of thing to Ms Dorries or not.   I could go through the links provided by Mr Ireland, but frankly I can’t be bothered.

But assuming for a moment that she has indeed been told previously by the Police that libel is not a criminal offence, then it does open up the question of whether Ms Dorries has opened herself up to prosecution under Section 5 (2) of the Criminal Law Act 1967:

Where a person causes any wasteful employment of the police by knowingly making to any person a false report tending to show that an offence has been committed, or to give rise to apprehension for the safety of any persons or property, or tending to show that he has information material to any police inquiry, he shall be liable on summary conviction to imprisonment for not more than six months or to a fine of not more than two hundred pounds or to both.

If she has indeed been told that libel is not a criminal offence, but has then reported a person to the police on the basis that they have been libellous, she would, prima facie, appear to have met the “knowingly” and “false report” requirements of this offence, and the fact that any such “false report” has been made direct to the police would appear, necessarily, that police time has been taken up in attending to it.

Just to be clear, I am in no way advocating that she be prosecuted.  I’m just pointing out that she’s a bit silly. 

 

The incomplete state: Charles Tilly and the defence of aid to India

February 7, 2012 7 comments

Aid to India is back in the news.  Following so-called “revelations” in the Telegraph  about the Indian government’s attempts to bring UK aid to an end –  in fact the Financial Times covered the story 18 months ago – the Daily Mail’s headline runs:

A £2bn space programme and Swiss bank accounts: I’ve seen how aid to India is wasted.

The Sue Reid piece below opens, almost inevitably, with a lie:

A picture on the Department for International Development’s website shows a 20-year-old named Meenakshi polishing the new solar panel on the roof of her village shack in Orissa, on the east coast of India.

This gleaming piece of kit to provide electricity has been paid for by you, the British taxpayer.

By the end of this year our Government will have shelled out £1.5billion since 2009 to pay for solar energy and other grand schemes to combat climate change in foreign countries, including India.

Let’s leave aside the fact that most of Orissa, and all of the bit DfID has any engagement with, is many miles from the coastal strip.  The main lie here is that Meenaksi is not actually “polishing the new solar panel on her village shack”. 

Had Reid been inclined to read any of the words around the picture and the associated article, she would know that Meenakshi is not in fact pictured next her own household’s solar panel, but next to one which she installed for the whole of a village, to bring electricity to it for the first time.  She would know that Meenakshi is employed under the State of Orissa’s Tribal Empowerment and Liverlihoods Programme as a solar power engineer delivering and maintaining to install and maintain solar technologies across a range of villages and train other women in the same field, that DfID contributes to her salary (not to the actual panels), and that the whole programme is much more about female empowerment and basic services than it is about climate change, which Reid appears to think shouldn’t happen in “foreign countries” (because carbon dioxide obeys border controls, obviously).

Of course, Reid is happy to portray Meenakshi as the passive recipient of solar panels, whatever the facts, because it fits with her broader narrative about how all aid to India is wasted (she knows this for sure because she’s been to a school classroom in Bhopal).  Reid’s main energies in the piece are then devoted to pointing out that we shouldn’t give aid to India because it has a lot of rich people who drive Rolls Royces and have Swiss bank accounts, and because India has a space programme.

Whether we like it or not, though, Reid is tapping into a powerful narrative.  In particular, the mantra that the poor in India don’t need aid because the Indian government has a space programme has become lodged in many people’s minds, trotted out regularly by Newsnight’s rightwingers.   In June it was Hitchens, and last week it was the turn of the TPA representative to lap up the applause for her extraordinary insights.

The big question for those on the Left who are interested in the 350 million or so Indian people who live far below the poverty line (that’s around 5% of the world’s population) is how we counter this narrative most effectively.  That question seems particularly pertinent today, as officials negotiate in Delhi over the final ”political settlement” details of the EU-India Free Trade Agreement, which will consign many of this 350 million to an even more uncertain future.

Increasingly though, I think Reid, Hitchens et al’s  narrative cannot be countered effectively simply by pointing out – as Development Minister Andrew Mitchell has done – that there are still poor people in India.  Most people living in Britain today have no real conception of poverty and hunger in the third world.  Given this, the consistent messaging from the right, that the Indian (or any other government) could look after their populations properly if only they pulled their finger out, dovetailed with the old “charity begins at home” message ideally suited to time of self-imposed austerity, means that simple appeals to humanity are unlikely to have any great effect any time soon.

What is needed instead is the development of a new, distinctively leftwing narrative about why the Indian government in Delhi is not in any kind of position to assist properly in the development of its massive rural hinterland (even if it wanted to be), and how the only way 5% of the world’s population can be properly assisted in the long-term is through a total re-evaluation of why aid is still needed and how it can be re-engineered.

This means going back to some starting principles about why India is where it is now.

The crucial thing to recognise is that India is not a complete state, at least in the European liberal democratic sense of the term, and that for the right (or anyone) to base their argument on assumptions about state capacity is entirely invalid.

At one level, this means simply that the central government of India is, in terms of domestic policy implementation, only a relatively small player.  Most of the responsibility, and some of the funding, lies with the 33 fairly autonomous states - to a much greater extent than in, say, the Lander in Germany.  Thus, while the right-wing papers talk of British aid as though it is delivered in a big brown envelope to a corrupt high official in a plus New Delhi office, the reality is that, national level permissions aside, it is agreed at state level through partnership agreements.

Sensibly, DfiD now provides its aid only to the poorest 8 of the 28 Indian states, mostly to the East and North, and in which 65% of India’s poor live.

As the Southern and Western states do grow their way out of poverty (though inequalities remain), these poorest 8 states are being steadily left behind, not least because the central state has dramatically withdrawn its financial support since 2005/06, when the Twelfth Finance Commission recommended a process of “disintermediation”, a euphemism for cutting states adrift from the Centre and leaving them at the mercy of the markets.   This means that all States are now borrowing at rates over 9% (seen as unsustainable in the Eurozone) and this, combined with reductions in States’ income from the National Small Savings Fund, means that the poorer States, with their lower tax base growth projections, face a very uncertain fiscal future, especially from 2017/18 as many of the recent loans come to maturity*.

In this macroeconomic context it surely makes sense, for those who support the idea of 350 million people having more secure livelihoods, to promote their position by making as clear as possible that aid is not in fact going to the Indian State at all, but to areas which are effectively, and increasingly as a result of central policy, “countries within a country”.

Yet this is only the first part of the “incomplete state” narrative that the left needs to develop in defence of the 350 million.

The more important element comes when we consider not just the way in which the Centre is steadily withdrawing  from its responsibilities towards it States, but also the fundamental incompleteness of government at the level below the State.  It is this incompleteness which requires such a thorough evaluation of what development aid can and should be for.

In many rural areas of India, government administration still exists on paper only, and in the minds of the officials at State headquarters.  It doesn’t administer anything in the real sense. A tax economy, and the administrative capacity that goes with that, does not exist in areas where most people live subsistence farming lives.  Law and order as we recognise it in western liberal states, and as it is experienced in more urban areas of India, has not reached these parts.

That is, the process of state formation that took place between the 16th and 18th century in Europe, and earlier in Imperial China, has simply not taken place in India. 

In Europe, as historian and sociologist Charles Tilly has demonstrated, the process of state formation was a long and complex one, in which governments moved from a position of reliance on local “magnates” for their indirect rule – under which huge discretion was granted at local level for fear that these same magnates might turn swiftly from supporters to rebels – towards:

two expensive but effective strategies: (a) extending their officialdom to the local community and (b) encouraging the creation of police forces that were subordinate to the government rather than individual patrons, distinct from war-making forces, and therefore less useful as the tools of dissident magnates (p.175).

Ultimately, with the means of violence firmly under their control, states could become open to the rise of the kind of civil institutions we enjoy in western liberal democracies today.

In India, this necessarily long process of state formation did not take place, because colonial rule happened instead (again, cf. China).   As Tilly notes:

Whether forced or voluntary, bloody or peaceful, decolonization simply completed that process by which existing states leagued to create new ones.

The extension of the Europe-based state-making process to the rest of the world, however, did not result in the creation of states in the strict European image. Broadly speaking, internal struggles such as the checking of great regional lords and the imposition of taxation on peasant villages produced important organizational features of European states: the relative subordination of military power to civilian control, the extensive bureaucracy of fiscal surveillance, the representation of wronged interests via petition and parliament. 

On the whole, states elsewhere developed differently. The most telling feature of that difference appears in military organization. European states built up their military apparatuses through sustained struggles with their subject populations and by means of selective extension of protection to different classes within those populations. The agreements on protection constrained the rulers themselves, making them vulnerable to courts, to assemblies, to withdrawals of credit, services, and expertise. To a larger degree, states that have come into being recently through decolonization or through reallocations of territory by dominant states have acquired their military organization from outside, without the same internal forging of mutual constraints between rulers and ruled (p. 185-6). 

In these circumstances, it is not surprising that state legitimacy should continue to be actively contested.   The ongoing Maoist insurgency may rarely reach the Western media, but it continues to be very real, and is being conducted in precisely those places – the remote, mountainous and forested areas - where State government is weakest.    In these areas, the state does not necessarily exist as prima facie legitimate power, and the Maoists are often in a position to impose their own legitimacy – effectively their own alternative state form.

It is strangely symbolic that the central state’s latest attempt to deal with it involves the purchase of a drone to track Maoist (Naxalite) movements – it is almost an admission that the state can not reach these places by conventional state means, and must resort to copying the air war tactics of the US, as though the areas concerned really are foreign countries.

This may all seem a strange digression, but if the 350 million people now at risk of total abandonment by whatever exists of the “official” Indian state are to be aided properly, it is important to recognise exactly why simply banging on – as the right do – about the Indian elite’s responsibilities will not get us anywhere; the Indian state cannot reach out to the poorest, even if it wanted to.

Moreover, it increasingly looks as though the Indian elite is no longer interested in a total state, in which everyone – rich or poor - has a place.  As noted, the centre has already withdrawn its borrowing powers from State governments, but there are clearer signs than that.  Take the EU-India Free Trade Agreement, where the Indian negotiating team’s biggest “aggressive interest” is to secure Mode 4 concessions from the EU, allowing India’s middle class to work within the EU for Indian multinationals.   To secure this, they are quite happy to grant tariff removal on agricultural products which will almost certainly lead to the loss of livelihoods for millions of their semi-citizens on the margins.

Taken together, the effective abandonment of whole-state formation by the Indian elite which controls the central state, and the evolution of  impoverished “countries within a country”, demands, as noted, not simply a narrative in defence of current aid provision, but a total re-evaluation by the left of what aid should be about. 

This is not easy. On the one hand, it might be argued DfID’s current half-focus on working with State governments to allow them to “state-form”, in a way which might have happened had colonial rule not intervened, might be the best practical way forward. 

On the other hand, Tilly’s work suggests that simply to support the formation of states which have not gone through an evolutionary pattern of settlement between those with the means of violence at their disposal, such that civil institutions develop safely, may end up being counterproductive.  It may simply lend false, short-term legitimacy to governments unfit and unable to govern without resorting to violence and exploitation.

Perhaps the most we can say is that this is a debate the left needs to have urgently, and in a spirit of solidarity with the 350 million Indians who are effectively “stateless”, and of course with all those others around the world whose interests have been similarly damaged -first by colonialism, then neoliberalism, and now by the new post-neoliberal phase, in which they have become, in the eyes of a flourishing elite, simply expendable.  Once, the poor were seen as possible resources if only development could happen effectively.  Now, they’re just not worth the effort.

And this new expendability of the poor , it seems to me, is the key rationale for a new international solidarity, or in this case solidarity between the British left and the Indian poor (and the organisations that represent them). 

For this is a truly global phenomenon. In Britain, as I’ve set out, we are now ruled by an elite whose high politics-low politics operational code actively requires that those on the margins should simply be disregarded as far as possible, with inconvenient matters such as the NHS and education delegated to efficient (in their own terms) free-marketeers.  In all Western states, the ideological clock is being turned back to a time when liberalism carried within it its own exclusionary logic (see Domenico Losurdo’s Liberalism: A Counter-History for the details**). 

In India and other post-colonial creations (for the very idea of India as a state is a British imperial one), that process is easier because there is, by and large, no complete state to “uncomplete”, but the interests of a new global elite  – the 1% – create the same driving force.

The conditions are ripe for new stage of international solidarity.  One route to its development is for a rational defence of aid – to India and elsewhere – in the face of the right-wing thugs who currently dominate the media debate with their simplistic warblings about India’s space programme.  In Britain, the Conservatives have conspicuously failed to counter the Daily Mail’s aid bullshit, despite the faintly laudable efforts of Andrew Mitchell and others to defend the status quo, so Labour and the left must take up the challenge.

* The 11 “special category states” of India, primarily in the far North and East and defined as such largely because of their remoteness and geopolitical importance (bordering Pakistan and China) are currently benefiting from lower rates because a much larger amount of their State income comes from the Centre and the markets appear to be pricing in this “stability”.  This suggests that the poorer states in the heart of India may in time face even higher rates as they become increasingly decoupled from the rest of the more prosperous Indian economy.

** I cover the development of this New Liberalism in more detail in my forthcoming book, The Sixth Tradition.

Reflections on Rupert’s Rawlsianism

February 5, 2012 2 comments

I had a brief twitter conversation with Rupert Read, a Green party councillor from Norfolk.  Rupert was promoting an online petition:

Philip Hardy: Stand down as councillor for Thorpe Hamlet, Norwich, Norfolk.

The petition site explains:

Philip Hardy is the county councillor for the Thorpe Hamlet area. If you voted for him it would have been as a Green Party candidate. He has now, shockingly, defected to the conservatives, without standing down and putting himself up for re-election. Which means the Thorpe Hamlet voters have effectively voted for the Conservatives. The Green party won 46.16% of the vote whilst the Conservatives won 19.29%. Please circulate this to as many people in Norfolk as possible to put pressure on their representatives to force a by-election.

I googled, found a recent LibDem to Green defection welcomed by Hampshire Green party, and asked Rupert:

Out of interest, Rupert, do you think Alan Weeks should resign [fight by-election]?  A genuine question whether you think the two cases are different.

Rupert replied:

It’s a fair question, and here’s the answer: No. The difference is that the LibDems have betrayed themselves. Defections from LibDems to Greens (or to Labour, for that matter) are reasonable. But there is no excuse for going Green-Con.

The obvious reaction to this argument from Rupert would be to accuse the Green party of double standards, and I suspect this is the response that most people would give.  However, I think Rupert has a point which is worth exploring.

By arguing that the two cases are different because the LibDems are worse than Greens, Rupert is effectively making a case for the application of the first part of Rawls’ Second Principle of Justice:

Social and economic inequalities are to be arranged so that they are a) to be of the greatest benefit to the least-advantaged members of society; b) attached to offices and positions open to all under conditions of fair equality of opportunity (Rawls, 1971, A Theory of Justice , p.302).

That is, Rupert argues that the potential damage done to the least advantaged in society by the Norwich Green’s defection to the Conservatives – because Greens are interested in this group and because  Conservatives do bad things to it - makes it a separate case from a LibDems-to-Green defection, which will be good for disadvantaged people.  Social justice, therefore, is best served by an unequal arrangement; Green-to-Tory defectors should face by-election, but LibDem-to-Green defectors should not.

This is a reasonable argument, and not dissimilar to the one I made when I argued that socialists shouldn’t simply accept the idea of equal-sized constituencies as a ‘no-brainer’, because what liberals would have us believe are unjust inequalities in constituency size are actually socially just, in the Rawlsian sense, in that their very ineqaulity of size is of benefit to the otherwise least advantaged.

There are, however, arguments to be made against Rupert’s Rawlsianism.

First, and most obviously, it depends on Rupert being right about the LibDems having “betrayed themselves” and that there’s “no excuse” to defect from Green to Tory.  Clearly a LibDem/Tory is likely to argue the reverse – that if Rawlsian justice is pursued it’s the Hampshire LibDem-to-Green who should be standing down, and the Norfolk Green-to-Tory who is acting in the interests of the poor by staying put, because he’ll be in a position to put in place sensible local authority measures to benefit the most disadvantaged in the longer term.

That is, Rupert is favouring a system of justice which depends upon one side or other’s capacity to provide a convincing, but necessarily contestable, narrative about what is and what isn’t in the interests of the most disadvantaged.  He favours this over the rules currently in force (as there is no requirement for any defecting councillor to fight a by-election) which are set independent of any Rawlsian considerations.

He may be correct ethically, but this stance has complications.  For one thing, it sets a precedent for the application of Rawlsian methods which might be employed at a later time when Conservative forces are able to impose their own narrative more effectively (and they can already so pretty well); as such the negative unintended consequences for the most disadvantaged may end up greater than the positive ones he now envisages.  What may be right ethically may be wrong tactically.

More fundamentally, Rupert’s stance depends upon a particular conception of the grounds on which councillors are elected in the first place which in itself actually militates against the most disadvantaged.

Rupert’s argument is that Philip Hardy was elected as Green party councillor and that for him subsequently to become a Conservative renders the previous votes in some way invalid.  Yet, Philip Hardy was not elected as a Green party councillor.  He was elected primarily as the person in his ward deemed most able to carry out the role, and who used his Green party membership, and profession of alignment with Green policies, as some proof of this during his campaign.

That is to say, he was elected as a representative of his ward constituents, not as a Green party delegate.  The fact that he feels he can now best represent his constituents by adopting a totally different set of policies may be bizarre and reprehensible, but it does not make his election invalid.

To argue this is not to argue against the usefulness of party politics of a the most effective way of administering representative government (I happen to think it is the best way).  It is, though, an argument against representative government as it is currently conceived and implemented, with its confused picture as to whom representatives actually represent. 

More appropriate in the longer term, and in the pursuit of Rawlsian justice, is a system of delegatory democracy, under which those elected to serve know precisely who they serve, and (within agreed limits of discretion) how they will serve, because constituency and ‘party’ are effectively the same thing.   This, in turn, creates a democratic space in which assertions on how best to meet Rawlsian aims of social justice can be more properly contested, because function (what to do) takes precdence over form (the rules of democracy).  GDH Cole had a point in Guild Socialism Restated.

None of this means that Philip Hardy, the Tory councillor for Thorpe Hamlet, is anything other than a conniving scumbag who has put his own interests before those of the people of Thorpe Hamlet.

The return of the hitch

February 3, 2012 14 comments

When I was 18, I packed a small bag and walked the couple of miles through Eccles to the Peel Green junction of what was then the M63 (later to become the M60 ringroad), and stuck my thumb out.

Two weeks later I arrived in Istanbul, smelly but happy, having lived of stale bread and kipped under upturned wheelbarrows en route to what was to become a good fun job on the Galata bridge as a restaurant caller.  At one time I knew how to say “Come and try our lovely fish” in 15 European and Middle-Eastern languages.

In the last 5 years, I think I’ve picked up two pairs of hitchers – a student couple going from Edge Hill University back to Leeds, and a Danish couple hitching into Liverpool. 

Hitching has more or less completely died out.  It’s difficult to say exactly when or why, but I think it dipped below the critical mass of popularity/acceptability some time in the mid/late 1990s. 

This decline to that point through the 1980s and 1990s is probably associated both with the rising prosperity, relative to the 60s and 70s, of the young people most likely to be wanting to get around the country, and with the rise of the Thatcherite individualism/Blairite rights and responsibilites dogma which became increasingly pervasive.  Either way, by the 1990s it had become uncommon to hitch, such that people stopped picking up hitchers because they didn’t expect them, and the whole social process fell into a cycle of terminal decline.

Now, in the age of poor-bashing austerity, seems like a very good time for the rebirth of hitching, but with a political aim. 

My modest proposal would be for co-ordinated publicity from left-leaning (new) media and some of the new social movements (#uncut #occupy etc.) persuading people that hitching is on its way back in as a means of transport, and urging people to join the new movement by eschewing train/bus tickets at a key travel point in the year e.g. Easter/a student holiday period.

The explicit aim should be, I suggest, to develop a movement where hitching and giving lifts becomes an explicit symbol of solidarity (often, through the nature of car ownership and car use of longer journeys, inter-generational solidarity).  The terms of solidarity – whether it be for the cause of the hitcher, or more generally against ‘the man’ – can of course be the subject of journey long debate, with the promise of new leads, new ideas, new networks being created.

It will of course be interesting to see police reaction to people standing on motorway slipways, technically illegal but for many years overlooked by the police (and I seem to remember that decisions to clamp down was one reason for the decline of hitching). 

With hitching underway again in its “traditional” longer journey form, the burgeoning movement might also want to look at how shorter journey hitching might be fostered, thus creating some sense of solidarity and engagement between a wider base of people than those normally associated with hitching, and of course helping people get around who might otherwise not be able to do so.

But one step at a time.  I’m no longer of the age to be hitching across Europe, but I have got a car now, get around the country quite a lot, and would be delighted to take people somewhere near where they want to go this spring, especially if they’re lefties.  We could even have a secret sign.

Categories: General Politics
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