Peter Hitchens said something on Question Time last Thursday that no politician could ever say: “thank goodness we don’t have a democracy in this country”. For him this means that above elected representatives should be a level of unelected scrutiny, in the form of peers or, as he was referring, a constitutional Monarchy.
There is also another school of thinking, positioned by a quote which may or may not have come from Fredreich Nietzsche, questioning thus: “Do everybody deserve the vote”?
One might easily contend, also, that in the event of true British democracy Katie Price or Jeremy Clarkson could be our prime minister – so in a way we should count our lucky stars that our democracy is only a shadow of its full meaning.
I, however, take a different view, being in favour of democracy on principle and not seeing it as a utility that ought to be used when it suits me. As tyrants fall in the Middle East I know full well about the possibility of there being a radical Muslim Brotherhood element to post-Arab Spring politics, but appreciate that this must be challenged with ideas and committed action.
It certainly shouldn’t bolster the idea that more Middle Eastern democracy will be bad in itself. It might open the door to a raft of bad choices, but the importance of the freedom to do that trumps the sort of risk which would utilise tyranny as a precautionary mode of government.
Regarding mass political intentions, take the UK as an example. According to an Ipso Mori poll studying 2010/11 matters of political importance, immigration was more focal than the NHS, crime/law and order and unemployment, and leagues away from the 1997 general election run up where immigration was of very minor importance indeed.
In February 2011, from a sample of 1004 adults, 37% felt that immigration was a very big problem, 37% believed it was a problem, 16% felt it was not a very big problem and 5% felt it was not a problem at all.
Further, according to a YouGov poll studying the same period, 35% of those who voted Conservative in 2010 appealed to family values over anything else, 41% voted for them on matters of traditional values (compared to just 19% for Labour) and 28% on patriotism – while only 6% voted for the Tories appealing to tolerance and diversity (which, actually, Cameron sought to highlight).
In his efforts to woo the small l liberals and the Guardian reading middle classes, David Cameron paid less attention to the things the Tories had always trumped Labour on during the campaign before the 2010 election (immigration being key) and developed his narrative around public services, the economy, the environment and international development.
But clearly Cameron is not naive here. As Tim Bale in a recent article for The Political Quarterly has drawn upon, Cameron suffered a tough loss in the Ealing and Southall by-election in 2007, looked weak after the so –called “Brown bounce” – then by no coincidence at all appeared on Newsnight, talking about how people were worried about the pressures of immigration on public services.
However after some time, he went back to concentrating on the small l liberals with articles for the Guardian and his softly softly approach to crime; and it didn’t pay. The election that should have been a walkover for Cameron was scuppered, meaning he relied on the Liberal Democrats to join a coalition with him.
He failed to secure an outright majority, not because he failed to modernise his party, a project which has been in the making since Hague and possibly before that (given a slight shelving during Howard’s time – which Cameron was actually key to, writing as he did the manifesto which concentrated heavily on issues regarding asylum, a subject on which the Tories were predictably stronger on, according to the public, than Labour, who did, however, lead on everything else), but because he neglected what I want to call the Tories’ “toxic constituency” – those for whom no previous Conservative voting typology (for example nationalist, federalist, atlanticist, European, free market, interventionist, liberal, collectivist) has ever concentrated on.
The camp, you could say, who vote in accordance with Daily Express headlines.
Like Blair with the left wing of his party, he knew they had no other choice, so could shift the party to the right in full knowledge that he’d still benefit from their vote. Cameron assumed he could toe the centre ground of politics and keep his toxic constituency. He was wrong.
But perhaps he has realised. In October Daniel Knowles, writer for the Telegraph, criticised Mr Cameron for what he called his dog-whistle politics on immigration. As he said in his article “Like Europe, immigration control is one of those things which it’s much easier to shout about than to change.” He concluded by saying “If he were truly a liberal Conservative, the Prime Minister would face up to that, instead of trying to distract us with Right-wing mythology.”
But maybe Mr Cameron is liberal. The point is, is his core vote liberal? Is Cameron thinking what they are thinking? Has the time come for Mr Cameron to shift rightwards in order to keep his eyes firmly on the prize of overall majority? Polls and e-petitions certainly suggest that if he took that course he may have a fighting chance, which is depressing for those, such as myself, with ideas to contrary – but such is the reality.
Of course Cameron and his party could try and change hearts and minds. But political parties are not there to deal with ideas; they are there to win elections. For now that is.
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